If you’re watching the New York Mets this season and wondering whether your eyes are playing tricks on you—rest assured, they’re not. What you’re seeing is very real: a pitching staff that’s quietly become the best in baseball, even without a prototypical ace.
The Mets might not have a Cy Young winner headlining their rotation, but what they do have is a finely tuned lab—one that’s delivering elite results.
The Science Behind the Surge
Before Monday’s games, the Mets sported a dazzling 2.53 ERA—best in the majors. That’s not just good, it’s “check your glasses twice” kind of good.
For comparison, the next-best ERA belongs to the Padres at 2.74. A small gap on paper, but over a season, that’s the difference between dominance and just hanging around.
Behind the scenes, pitching coach Jeremy Hefner and minds like Desi Druschel are running what’s starting to look like a baseball version of NASA.
This isn’t just a group of throwers; it’s a team of craftsmen turning movement profiles and spin rates into outs.
Unlikely Heroes and Hidden Gems
The staff’s success doesn’t rely on household names—at least not yet. Kodai Senga is doing his best imitation of a cheat code with a microscopic 0.79 ERA. Clay Holmes, usually more known for his bullpen days, is thriving with a 3.16 ERA as a starter.
Griffin Canning (3.43), Tylor Megill (1.40), and the duo of Huascar Brazobán and Max Kranick (both 1.35) are all proof that the Mets’ lab is doing something right.
It’s like finding a group of garage band musicians and turning them into a top-40 chart-topping act—this isn’t luck, it’s development, scouting, and execution all coming together.
Stats That Speak Louder Than Words
For those who need more than just the eye test, the advanced metrics nod in agreement. A graphic from MLB researcher Thomas Nestico lays it out in numbers: not only are the Mets leading in ERA, but they also sit atop the league in FIP—a stat that filters out noise and focuses purely on what pitchers can control.
Team ERA vs FIP pic.twitter.com/hMfixHWVPq
— Thomas Nestico (@TJStats) April 21, 2025
Their 2.73 FIP puts them ahead of the next-best Rangers (3.21) by a sizable margin.
ERA+—which adjusts for ballparks and era—has them at an eye-popping 165. That’s not just good; that’s “historically significant” good. The Padres, second-best in that category, trail by nearly 20 points at 147.
2025 ERA+:
165 NYM
147 SD
134 CIN
130 DET
122 TEX
116 KC
115 TOR
111 HOU TB
110 LAD
107 SF
106 MIN
104 BOS
103 NYY PIT
101 CLE
100 MIL
99 SEA
98 ATL LAA STL
95 CHC CWS PHI
93 ARI
91 COL
88 MIA
86 ATH
78 WSH
71 BAL— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) April 21, 2025
Waiting on the Offense
It’s not all sunshine and strikeouts, though. The Mets’ offense has been hot and cold, unpredictable as a spring rainstorm.
Still, even with some sputtering at the plate, they’ve built a two-game lead in their division.
When (or if) the bats start catching fire, the rest of the league might want to duck for cover. Right now, the Mets are winning games with smoke, mirrors, and a whole lot of spin.
Add a little pop to the lineup, and they could become the kind of team that doesn’t just win—but steamrolls.